As many people guessed, JP Morgan (JPM) is buying Bear Sterns (BSC) with guarantees from the Federal Reserve. (For once, CNBC was right.) The Fed also cuts 25 basis points.
I am really worried now. For one thing, the price for the JPM takeover of BSC is $2. Does that mean the shares are going to open at $2? Why were there so many dumb people in it at $30-35? I mean, even CNBC kept saying that equity was wiped out. If BSC was so mispriced, are other banks also mispriced? I guess we'll find out when the market opens.
Why cut rates when there is a FOMC meeting on Tuesday? Doesn't that signal the Fed is panicking?
I have a feeling that Monday is going to gap down on heavy volume (don't have any theories, just a feeling). The news doesn't make me feel confident.
Showing posts with label mispricing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mispricing. Show all posts
Sunday, March 16, 2008
JP Morgan (JPM) buys Bear Sterns (BSC) and Fed cuts rates
Labels:
bailout,
BSC,
FOMC,
helicopter ben,
JPM,
mispricing
Sunday, February 3, 2008
EMC and VMW revisited
For those of you who are really hardcore, here's a paper that describes the sort of things that cause mispricing. To summarize, it's because VMW is/was hard to short. This supports my theory that once EMC can sell its shares of VMW, we are gonna see a price correction. Either EMC up or VMW down but probably VMW down.
Labels:
EMC,
hard to borrow,
mispricing,
supply and demand,
VMW
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